How to Play MicroStrategy Stock Smartly: Protect Your Investment While Maximizing Gains

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MicroStrategy (MSTR) has been making waves in the stock market, fueled by its significant Bitcoin holdings and a vertical price climb. Investors and enthusiasts alike are marveling at its performance, but with such exponential growth, comes risk. In this article, we’ll explore strategies for investing in MicroStrategy with a focus on smart, calculated moves that prioritize capital preservation while still allowing for substantial gains.

The Rise of MicroStrategy

MicroStrategy’s stock has been on a meteoric rise. Starting 2023 at $72 per share, it has surged past $420 in November, boasting triple-digit growth rates. This upward momentum aligns closely with Bitcoin, which has also reached record highs, spurred by increasing adoption and policy developments worldwide.

However, the rapid ascent of MicroStrategy raises questions about sustainability. With the stock trading far above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages (97% and 173% respectively), caution is warranted.

The Risks: Frothy Market Signals

The term "frothy" refers to a market condition where asset prices are significantly inflated, often leading to a correction. For MicroStrategy, the gap at $280 on its chart serves as a potential red flag. Historically, such gaps tend to be filled, meaning the stock could retrace to lower levels before resuming an upward trajectory.

So, how can investors protect their portfolios while still participating in the action?

Smart Strategies for Trading MicroStrategy

  1. The Covered Call Strategy

A covered call involves owning shares of the stock and selling call options against them. This strategy allows you to generate income (known as "juice") while providing some downside protection. 

Example:

- Buy the Stock: Purchase MicroStrategy at $427.

- Sell a Covered Call: Sell a call option with a strike price of $377.50. This gives you a 74% chance of retaining the stock or pocketing $16.72 per share (about 4% in 10 days).

Benefits:

- Income Generation: Even if the stock declines, the income from selling the call cushions potential losses.

- Downside Protection: The $67.75 per contract provides a safety net, ensuring you break even as long as the stock stays above $360. 

  1. Choosing the Right Delta

Delta measures the probability of an option expiring in the money. A higher delta (e.g., 74%) means safer bets, while a lower delta (e.g., 56%) offers higher potential rewards with increased risk. 

 Greedy vs. Smart Approach: 

- Greedy: Selling at-the-money calls offers a 9% return in 10 days but only a 56% chance of success. 

- Smart: Opting for calls with a lower strike price offers a 4% return with a 74% probability of success.

The takeaway? Prioritize steady, reliable returns over chasing high but uncertain profits.

Why Capital Preservation Matters

As the video’s author wisely notes, "It's better to be out of the market wishing you were in, than in the market wishing you were out." Protecting your capital allows you to stay in the game long-term, even during downturns. Covered calls offer a balanced approach to achieving this while still capitalizing on market opportunities.

FAQs

Q1: Why not just hold MicroStrategy shares without selling options?

While holding shares outright can result in gains during upward trends, it exposes you to full downside risk. Covered calls provide a layer of protection while generating additional income.

Q2: Is MicroStrategy still a good investment at these levels?

MicroStrategy’s potential is tied closely to Bitcoin’s performance. While its future is promising, the stock’s current frothy levels suggest a pullback could occur. Consider using protective strategies like covered calls.

Q3: What happens if the stock drops significantly?

The income from selling call options offsets some losses. If the decline is severe, you can still mitigate risks by rolling options or reevaluating your position.

Call to Action

MicroStrategy’s current trajectory offers unique opportunities, but navigating its volatility requires a disciplined approach. Explore the covered call strategy and prioritize capital preservation to stay ahead in this dynamic market.

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Conclusion

MicroStrategy is rewriting market history, driven by Bitcoin’s adoption and broader economic shifts. By leveraging covered call strategies and maintaining a focus on calculated risks, you can profit while safeguarding your portfolio. Remember, the key to long-term success in trading lies in preserving your capital and making smart, informed decisions.