Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week March 3, 2025

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Weekly Insider Tips - March 3, 2025

This week, the market has turned red, confirming the concerns I had last Friday when I noted a shift towards yellow. Yellow is often a transition phase between green and red, and sure enough, we’re now fully in a red market. With 70% of stocks moving in the direction of the overall market, most investors are feeling the pain. The Nasdaq has faced seven straight days of lower lows, the S&P 500 is below its 50-day moving average but above the 200-day, and the Dow is struggling as well. The tech sector, including stocks like Nvidia, Tesla, and Microsoft, has seen significant declines, especially within the computer index. Apple appears stable, but Tesla and MicroStrategy have retraced their gains. The broader theme here is that sellers outnumber buyers, and volatility is increasing. I’ve moved to cash on most of my positions and have taken some short positions. While a bounce is always possible, the probabilities still favor further downside.

 

Technical Analysis:
The market has shifted into a full-blown red condition, which means more sellers than buyers and increased volatility. The Nasdaq has been down for seven straight days, hitting the 50-day moving average and bouncing slightly. However, previous buyers who got burned on the way down may sell into this bounce, leading to further downside. The S&P 500 sits between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, while the Dow is hovering around the 50-day. The New York Stock Exchange is still above the 50-day moving average, which is a positive sign, but it’s uncertain if it will be enough to pull the broader market up. The Volatility Index is rising, indicating increased fear in the market.

Market Trends:
There’s been a clear risk-off sentiment in the market, particularly within the tech sector. The computer index has suffered a sharp drop from 18,000 to under 17,000 in just a week, which signals trouble for major tech stocks. This suggests that something significant may be brewing, though it remains unclear what exactly is driving the sell-off.

Individual Stocks:

  • Apple (AAPL): Relatively stable, fluctuating around the 50-day moving average. No major concerns unless high-volume selling appears.

  • Tesla (TSLA): Has completed a full round-trip from its Election Day rally back to its starting point. Currently bouncing off the 200-day moving average. If volume supports the bounce, it may push toward $300.

  • MicroStrategy (MSTR): Mirroring Tesla’s chart, bouncing off the 200-day moving average. Needs volume confirmation for a strong move higher.

  • Amazon (AMZN): Likely heading to test the 200-day moving average. Needs to reclaim its 50-day moving average to maintain strength.

  • Nvidia (NVDA): Below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It’s in a range and could be coiling for a move higher, but the post-earnings reaction has been weak despite strong numbers.

  • Other Tech Stocks: Many have been punished, filling previous price gaps and experiencing sharp declines. This suggests that while optimism was high on the way up, reality is setting in, and investors are adjusting their expectations.

Key Takeaways:

  1. Market Sentiment is Red: More sellers than buyers, leading to downward pressure on stocks.

  2. Volatility is Rising: The fear index is climbing, suggesting increased market uncertainty.

  3. Tech Sector Under Pressure: Many tech stocks, particularly in the computer index, have seen sharp declines.

  4. Some Stocks Holding Up: Apple looks stable, while Tesla and MicroStrategy are attempting bounces off key support levels.

  5. Risk Management is Key: I’ve moved to cash in most positions and taken short positions to hedge against further downside.

Conclusion:
The market remains in a red condition, and while short-term bounces may occur, the overall probabilities favor further downside. Tech stocks, in particular, have been hit hard, and increased volatility suggests that caution is warranted. I’ve adjusted my positions accordingly, reducing exposure and taking some short trades. As always, managing risk is key in a market like this. Let’s see how next week unfolds—stay smart and stay safe. See you in the next Market Pulse!

 

Current Market Condition:

The market has fully transitioned into a red condition, confirming the warning signs from last week’s shift to yellow. With 70% of stocks following the market’s downward trend, investors are feeling the impact as selling pressure outweighs buying interest. The Nasdaq has recorded seven consecutive days of lower lows, the S&P 500 is struggling below its 50-day moving average, and the Dow is showing signs of weakness. Volatility is increasing, with the fear index rising and major tech stocks—such as Nvidia, Tesla, and Microsoft—taking heavy losses, particularly within the computer index. While some stocks, like Apple, are holding up better, the overall sentiment remains bearish. Given these conditions, I’ve moved largely to cash and taken short positions to hedge against further downside.

 

Stock Tip of the Week:

Market Sell-Off: What Should You Do? πŸ“‰

Here’s a quick video for you as the markets are selling off. With increased volatility and stocks turning red, what’s the best move right now? Let’s dive in and break it down! πŸš€πŸ“Š

 

Make Income Even in a Falling Market! πŸ“‰πŸ’°

Tired of losing money when the market goes down? What if you could turn declines into opportunities? In this video, I’ll show you a strategy to generate income from falling stocks. Let’s dive in! πŸš€

 

Palantir Drops 32%—Were You Ready? πŸ“‰

Palantir (PLTR) just took a 32% hit—were you prepared? In this video, I break down what happened, why it dropped, and how to protect yourself (or even profit) in market moves like this. Let’s dive in!

 

Podcast Episode this Week:

Escaping the Matrix & Mastering the System

Are you unknowingly trapped in “the Matrix”? Brandon Joe Williams is on a mission to help people lawfully exit the system, avoid taxes, discharge debts, and even gain diplomatic immunity. In this eye-opening episode, we dive into citizenship, trusts, negotiable instruments, and how to think differently about money and the law.

Join me and Nicholas Spohn as we explore these game-changing concepts with Brandon. Get ready to challenge everything you thought you knew!