Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week March 31, 2025

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Weekly Insider Tips - March 31, 2025

This week's market update highlights a period of volatility, with a transition from a yellow signal to a brief green before reverting to cautionary yellow. The market's mixed signals, including a dreaded H pattern in major indices like the NASDAQ and S&P 500, indicate potential downside risk. With the VIX showing increased panic and major stocks like Apple, Tesla, and Google struggling below key moving averages, the market remains uncertain. The overarching advice is to proceed with caution, protect capital, and avoid unnecessary risk while monitoring key technical levels.

Technical Analysis

The market has been fluctuating, moving from yellow to green briefly and back to yellow. According to my market timing system, yellow indicates caution and requires three consecutive days to confirm any transition. Currently, we have three red signals and only one green, reinforcing the cautious outlook.

A significant technical pattern appearing in major indices is the dreaded H pattern, which suggests further downside if key support levels are broken. Specifically:

NASDAQ: Testing 17,238; a break below could lead to 15,708.
S&P 500: Below the 200-day moving average, forming a similar dreaded H pattern.
Dow Jones: Failed to stay above the 200-day moving average, with possible downside to 38,499.
NYSE Composite Index: The strongest of the indices, still above the 200-day moving average, offering some hope for stabilization.

Market Trends

The VIX (Volatility Index) has been bouncing, indicating increased market fear. A key level to watch is 29.57. This aligns with economic concerns such as tariffs, layoffs, and overall slowing growth.

Key date to watch: April 2nd, which could bring further market-moving announcements.

Individual Stocks

Apple (AAPL): Below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with a forming death cross.
Tesla (TSLA): Downtrend confirmed, with a potential test of 217.
MicroStrategy (MSTR): Highly volatile but still above the 200-day moving average.
Google (GOOGL): Strong downtrend, struggling to recover above key levels, with concerns over the long-term viability of its search business.
Meta (META): Holding above the 200-day moving average but showing weakness.
Microsoft (MSFT): Dreaded H pattern forming, with relative strength declining.
Palantir (PLTR): Testing support at the 50-day moving average, watching for volume confirmation.

Key Takeaways

The dreaded H pattern is appearing across major indices, signaling caution.
The VIX is rising, indicating increased market uncertainty.
Major tech stocks are under pressure, many below critical moving averages.
April 2nd is a key date to watch for potential catalysts.

Conclusion

This remains a yellow market, meaning investors should proceed with caution. The current patterns suggest potential downside risk, making capital protection a priority. Staying on the sidelines or making selective trades with strong technical backing is advisable. The goal is to preserve cash and be ready to capitalize on future opportunities when the market stabilizes.

Final Thought: Avoid unnecessary risks and ensure you have capital to deploy when conditions improve.

Current Market Condition:

The market remains in a yellow cautionary phase, characterized by volatility and uncertainty. After briefly turning green, it quickly reverted to yellow, requiring three consecutive days to confirm any shift. With three red signals and only one green, the market demands caution. The dreaded H pattern in major indices like the NASDAQ and S&P 500 suggests further downside risk if key support levels break. Investors should focus on capital protection, avoiding unnecessary risks until the market stabilizes.

Stock Tip of the Week:

MicroStrategy (MSTR) Update – Profiting Even in a Decline

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Podcast for the Week:

Crypto taxes can be a maze—but navigating them just got easier. In this episode, Mark sits down with Janna Scott, founder of DeFiTax, a cutting-edge crypto tax solution that delivers precise, audit-ready reporting. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just dipping your toes into DeFi, understanding the tax implications is crucial. Get ready for a deep dive into the ever-evolving world of crypto taxation and how to stay compliant with confidence!